Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 66.090953 73.879054 81.930945 90.855756 100.449462 110.431061 121.579876
2025-02-16 55.578215 67.196516 79.851605 94.565260 111.106656 129.036179 149.845761
2025-02-23 48.634147 62.150264 77.414284 95.738278 116.946260 140.535004 168.565705
2025-03-02 41.867385 56.376494 73.321736 94.261905 119.128952 147.412474 181.701863
2025-03-09 36.846527 52.049216 70.350732 93.551330 121.720346 154.371470 194.622209
2025-03-16 32.976793 48.715458 68.199138 93.473704 124.769627 161.648807 207.769465
2025-03-23 31.011357 47.585369 68.589433 96.357297 131.291767 173.004983 225.766428
2025-03-30 28.434783 45.400227 67.427561 97.114379 135.063142 180.971077 239.688095
2025-04-06 26.144643 43.393515 66.318194 97.783569 138.609725 188.598201 253.189162
2025-04-13 22.996117 39.919368 63.020164 95.384105 138.074760 191.041244 260.240576
2025-04-20 22.044991 39.513660 63.812679 98.343475 144.410584 202.080957 277.988298
2025-04-27 20.771316 38.521780 63.708240 100.034051 149.063284 211.005954 293.153640
2025-05-04 19.203212 37.004869 62.828276 100.682089 152.422326 218.435644 306.688814
2025-05-11 18.591043 36.928072 63.992395 104.165797 159.608835 230.875737 326.731850
2025-05-18 17.440493 35.894211 63.682543 105.526759 163.910561 239.589649 342.072992
2025-05-25 15.609909 33.596117 61.365373 103.923176 164.095066 242.882289 350.442117
2025-06-01 14.163179 31.811996 59.709123 103.165992 165.359691 247.542875 360.560821
2025-06-08 13.002859 30.419584 58.566837 103.081882 167.503733 253.343075 372.170700
2025-06-15 12.636561 30.409737 59.573531 106.172036 174.116003 265.153293 391.730408
2025-06-22 11.811631 29.492477 59.081226 106.982957 177.493396 272.633909 405.645966
2025-06-29 11.030783 28.588622 58.554898 107.699675 180.714465 279.907024 419.323522
2025-07-06 9.697861 26.492161 55.951130 105.129368 179.120443 280.565392 424.167051
2025-07-13 9.493565 26.615553 57.052629 108.299265 185.866659 292.677569 444.383368